The oil price is raised at the end of the month
Three kinds of crude oil flat fare raise up about 7 dollars compared with last month
Will our country's finished oil price or raise at the end of this month
Staff reporter Chen Wei
Without the accident, our country's finished product oil price will or welcome once and raise at the end of this month.
One deadline to valuate one in August 26. Eastern the intersection of oil gas and the intersection of network and chief the intersection of analyst and Jian Zhong claim until international the intersection of crude oil price and tendency wander up and down in 70 U.S. dollars judging up and down at present, valuate issue finish, in this piece, three international the intersection of crude oil and rate of change break, 4% will store too loud problem in forward.
Enter August, the international oil price is dropped rotating to rise, by August 14, the crude oil flat fare of international basis (WTI) It is probably 69 dollars for every barrel, it raises up about 5 dollars than the average price of last month; Three kinds of crude oil flat fare are 71 dollars for every barrel, it probably raises up 7 dollars compared with last month.
The monitoring data coming from exchanging trade information reveal, up to August 14, Brent, Dubai, weighted moving average crude oil price more lastly to rise 7.56% while readjusting the price hard 22 workday such as three places such as tower.
Zhong Jian thinks,>China regards 22 workdays as a cycle and change rate of valuating to break 4% to already basically establish on the corresponding rule that readjusted the price. Have special reason in the future, change rate, break, 4% readjust the price, become one natural thing within 22 workdays.
The national development and reform committee released>Stipulate, when the crude oil moves the change of the average price in 22 workdays continuously in the international market to exceed 4%, but adjust the price of domestic readymade oil correspondingly.
From the beginning of this year, the domestic finished oil price has already gone through adjustment five times during the time in the first 7 months, among them raise three times, downward modulation two times. It is July 29 that the national development and reform committee is recent to readjust the price, the retail price of domestic petrol and diesel oil was reduce by 220 yuan ton slightly at that time.
What merits attention is, when the fluctuating rate of the international oil price is too big, the amplitude modulation of the domestic oil price will be cut down, and control it to a certain extent. "This may be that a national development and reform committee consider, as the international oil price fluctuates too big, when the corresponding disposable amplitude modulation of domestic oil price is too high, consumers have limited ability to accept, and intend to limit disposably and raise the range the most largely. " Zhong Jian says.
For example, the fluctuating rate of international oil price corresponded to has already been up to about 20% when raising the oil price twice in June, if adjust the domestic oil price according to this kind of change rate, among them largest amplitude modulation is probably about 900 yuan, however, are cut down while raising the oil price specifically to 600 yuan.
According to>Regulation,only when the international oil price fluctuate among 80 to 130 dollars,can last amplitude modulation oil refining the methods of the profits in order to cutting down, however, in carrying out specifically, this method to reduce amplitude modulation, has already been reflected before the international oil price has not reached 80 dollars.
In readjusting the price last time, the national development and reform committee claimed, the next step, the country will be while following the forming mechanism of the price of readymade oil overallly, consider the intersection of international market and the intersection of oil price and change, the intersection of our country and economic situation and the intersection of readymade oil and the intersection of market and the intersection of supply-demand relationship,etc. and factor synthetically, adjust in right time and adjust and control the price of readymade oil appropriately.
Strong in according to clock, predict valuate issue finish, in wheel this, national development and reform committee continue, follow, break, readjust the price in time by 4% of the basic rules to right away readjust the price by three the intersection of crude oil and change rate.
"After entering September, with the rise of the international oil price, extracting oil by heat and closing prices will improve too at home, in order to keep enterprise's essential profit of oil refining and consider the actual conditions of the lofty tone one of consumer's difficult disposable acceptance, national development and reform committee issue appropriate policy to raise oil price, raise range perhaps between 450 and 550 yuan. " Zhong Jian says.
Jian Zhong reveal at present, domestic to form, raise common understanding of oil price soon basically already, but it is expected not to produce the effective speculation behavior that this kind readjusts the price at present. It is obvious, even the transparent rule of readjusting the price, has and formed and expect there may not be operation of speculating either in the common understanding.
At present, real wholesale price of diesel oil is about, probably lower by 300 yuan than to stipulate the wholesale price 5900 yuans; Retail prices of petrol and diesel oil have generally dropped by 0.2 yuan about liter than fixed retail prices too, have dropped by 200 to 300 yuan per ton in other words. Though, after the international oil price tops 70 dollars, two major groups push the price jointly again, want, shift yuan of levels onto the intersection of diesel oil and actual wholesale price, but even if distance this stipulate price low 200 push away price goal fail, realize even.
"Readjust the price when it's time to readjust the price, prevent not because does not readjust the price in time to make the domestic and foreign price differential accumulate too bigging; The largest amplitude modulation of limiting once and readjusting the price clearly, therefore inhibit the anticipated excessive inflation of the market, this prevents speculating the behavior strikes more positive method of the market. " Zhong Jian says.
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